Round 9

[Fabio Birza]

Thanks for the Double vote Amanda

The auction went pretty well for me. The 3 people I trust most in this game, Steph, Sierra and Brett, in no particular order, all won something very useful. We could team up and vote for one of the other 3. I think Boston Rob has a ties with Brett and Sierra, so it will likely be either Austin or Jimmy as my vote. I don't see myself voting for any of my three friends at the moment and I pray they dont go turning on each other anytime soon, or I will be put into quite an awkward position.

Jimmy came to be campaigning to vote off Brett and I cant do that atm. I trust Brett even though he may be extremely powerful with his vote changer, triple vote and double vote,, I don't wanna blindside him with 8 people still left in this game I feel he has my back.

Jimmy J 9:26 pm
yeah
Jimmy J 9:36 pm
i think you me steph and austin should work together
were the underdogs

i dont trust brett anymore

Fab IO 9:36 pm
yeah I havent spoke to Austin much
Jimmy J 9:37 pm
yeah he just started talking to me since we merged
we need to take out brett before he gets too much power in my opinion
Fab IO 9:39 pm
perhaps, I think a lot will depend on this auction,, immunity will be given out Im sure
Jimmy J 9:39 pm
yeah


That will probably make him the main target for this round. It should be interesting with all the different items floating around however, anyone but Monica could end up going

[Fabio Birza]

It gets more and more complicated all the time. Sierra is friends with Jimmy and knows him in another game and is really pushing me to vote off Brett. I suggested Austin instead and she didn't have any connection with him, she says he was friends with JT and wouldnt mind voting him. I don't want to lose someone I could trust right now with still 8 players remaining. Austin doesn't seem to fit anywhere in the scheme of things right now and is sort of like a floater. Austin is a relatively safe vote no one seems like they are dead set against it.

I had also heard that Sierra got an Idol, not by finding clues, but was loaned to her by Monica. Sierra and Monica are clearly a lot closer than I had thought too . Monica has voiced her concerns to me about Brett before as well. Next round, Steph and I will need to make a difficult decision. Do we join forces with Sierra, Monica and Jimmy , to vote out Brett or do we stick with Brett and Boston Rob and vote the 3 of them out? Tough decisions will need to be made and friendships possibly broken. Should we vote Brett,It may need to be a blindside due to his 3x and 2x vote allowing a total of 6 votes and he is a very dangerous player. On the other hand he is also very loyal, and his power would be enough to vote any player out almost certainly unless they used an Idol.

[Fabio Birza]

Well, here is a current run through of the powers I know or believe the remaining players to have:

Austin: Vote Changer
Boston Rob : Double Vote
Brett: Vote Changer, Double Vote and Triple Vote
Sierra: 1x AUTO nullifier, 2 HII clues
Myself: Double Vote
Steph: Vote Changer and 2x nullifier
Jimmy: Double Vote Blocker
Monica: Double Vote + a HII

Thats quite a lot of acquired powers and Brett and Monica are clearly the most powerful players atm, Steph being a close 3rd. I will talk more about the possibilities here later as I need to go. I need to plan out some type of path to make it to the end of this crazy game. Fabio aint as dumb he pretends to be

TO BE CONTINUED

Connections:

Fabio Steph

Brett and Boston Rob

Sierra and Monica

Jimmy and Austin

FOR THIS POINT FORWARD I WILL MOSTLY REFER TO THESE PLAYERS BY THEIR COLOR CODE

The way I see this game this game there are basically 4 pairs in this game. However egocentric this may sound, I believe that myself and Steph are at the center.

Monica and Steph trust each other immensely, Steph is the only person Monica told about sharing her idol with Sierra and they have a F2 deal. Monica offered me a F3 deal which i accepted. Sierra I trust for obvious reasons, we tell each other everything and she saved me from certain doom with her vote changer.
So the Red and Purple groups above are alligned.

But also, myself and Steph really trust Brett as well and him us since we have been working together since the first tribe and sharing info cross tribes since then. Both me and Steph seperately warned him about Jimmy attempt to blindside him, and Brett also threw the wordsmith challenge somewhat to help my tribe win immunity. With Brett comes Boston Rob whom I don't really trust that much, but truth be told I don't know if I trust Monica that much either, not as much as Steph. Thus, myself and Steph are also alligned with Orange as well as Purple.

That leaves the Blue group, Austin and Jimmy. Although we saved Jimmy on Aarde, the other option was Jenna and she was starting trouble against my girl Steph. Austin I haven't really spoke to much at all and neither have Sierra or Brett from what they told me, and Jimmy is a good player but his move on the last TC of voting for BR at Weerlig likely angered both BR and Sierra( since she lost one of her nullifiers), members of Orange and Purple. Blue group is thus on the outside and on their own against Red Orange and Purple



Although Red is alligned with both Purple and Orange,, Purple and Orange are both against each other, which puts Red, aka myself and Steph, into a strange position. We need to pick a side, plain and simple, and which ever side we pick is likely the Final 4. This is also a good thing, because myself and Steph have most social power in this game being in everyone's good graces and out of the target zone, even by Jimmy and Austin.


Here is a basic gameplan to make it to the Final 3 or 4, which is going to be VERY subject to change depending on immunity and powers and all kinds of things, but its nice to have a plan

F8: Austin is a bigger threat than jimmy due to his challenge abilities and his vote changer, and he may even have a double vote as well. Sierra was upset about Jimmy's move wasting one of her nullifier slots, but is still friends with him but not with Austin. Red should be able to get Purple and Orange to unanimously vote Austin no problem this round, as long as Purple and Orange can call a truce for 1 more round, which is what I hadl suggested to Sierra.

F7: Red needs to make a decision here I think. Preventing the war between Orange and Purple wasn't easy in F8, Brett is the biggest target in this game right now due to his 3 powers, and everyone knows he has them unlike Monica, who HII is hidden. Depending upon which way Red goes, the game changes dramatically. I think either way Red can make the F4 intact.

Scenario 1 : Red alligns with Purple to vote off Orange..

I think that this is the more likely Scenario. Brett is an extremely powerful player all around due to his powers, his social skills and challenge ability, he will be the target here at the F7. Jimmy will also be on board with this, and Boston Rob likely left in the dark to be voted off next,, so the votes would be 5-2 for Brett to leave.

Since Brett's 3 powers could allow for him to single handedly vote off any person that he wants if all used together, Brett would need to be blindsided. I think personally, what I would do is have Brett use his 3x and 2x against Sierra here, which is what he wants anyway, and have Sierra play an Idol, either one she finds or from Monica. This would in effect use up the Idol and blindside Brett, and Brett may ultimately blame Purple, not Red. It also reinforces Sierra' trust with Red.

After Brett leaves, Boston Rob and Jimmy will naturally follow, being the remaining single members of Orange and Blue against the Red-Purple alliance. The Final 4 of Red and Purple could be dramatic,,, this could end up very well in a tie unless one side could turn a member against another. I don't see myself voting for Steph or her voting for me. I would probably want to keep Sierra cause I believe she would bring me to end if it is a F2, and Monica would take Steph.



Scenario 2: Red makes an alliance with Orange to vote off Purple

Since neither me or Steph really know Boston Rob that well, this scenario is a bit less likely but still possible. At the F7, Sierra would have to blindsided. I'd feel bad about that since I owe Sierra my life in this game, even more so then I owe Brett. The blindside is necesary since Monica has an idol, and Sierra may have her own with the clues.

Monica and Jimmy would likely follow, but then again, Monica does have an idol and a F3 deal with Red. This would make eliminating Monica more tricky since she will be on Guard after Sierra's blindside. I'd prefer Monica go first in this situation before Sierra for that reason, but I know Steph would hate to do that.

In a F4 with Red and Orange, I believe Boston Rob would leave 4th place, myself and Steph would probably offer to take Brett to the F2 in exchange. I think Brett would beat both me or Steph if he made the end however, since he would have made no enemies and hadn't really betrayed anyone's trust except for maybe BR, and played a solid game.


So, for both personal and strategic reasons, I am probably going to do Scenario 1 and hope for the best. I'll update you as things change in the game.

[Fabio Birza]

Ok well remember how plans change!, yeah well they changed again. Brett and BR really want Jimmy gone, so we will vote him first. Sierra is plenty cool with it after all. It doesnt change my overall gameplan that much, it is still a BLUE alliance member going home. Next week is the real fireworks.

ab IO 11:58 pm
well,, worst case scenario
Sierra Austin and Jimmy team up
you could use the 6x vote to be 100% safe
Brett Clouser 11:59 pm
That's probably already happened
Yeah I plan to, but i don't know that austins the man to use it on
Fab IO 12:00 am
we can use it on Jimmy then, I only was gonna put Austin cause of Sierra
Brett Clouser 12:00 am
What if we had sierra go for austin and we blindsided Jimmy? See where her vote falls


Brett Clouser 12:35 am
Idk.. I think the best plan is to vote jimmy, tell sierra were going for austin, see what she does



Thats basically the plan, Brett has this idea that Sierra would vote Austin, but not Jimmy. Whatever works, he will likely use one or both of his power as well. It should be interesting, I'm glad I have immunity personally with everything thats been going on in this crazy fricking game

[Amanda Kimmel]

I swear I replied in here...

What do you think is crazier: This or Tonga?

What has Majority Rules changed, if anything?

[Fabio Birza]

Dec 3, 2010 2:00:50 GMT -5 Amanda Kimmel said:

I swear I replied in here...

What do you think is crazier: This or Tonga?

What has Majority Rules changed, if anything?

Who's crazier: Charles Manson or Ted Bundy. It's a tough one to answer but both games are crazy, in a good way!


Majority Rules highlighted Jimmy as the next target and Monica and Brett as the biggest threats, which isn't really news to me but it could be news to some players. As it turns out I was voted the biggest Hero! What a turn around from Tocantins!!! Oh I have these people so fooled ;D .

[Fabio Birza]

Yay Jimmy not mad, it wasn't personal, everyone else wanted him out more than me

Fab IO 11:46 pm
I never lowered your Karma ahaha
Jimmy J 11:46 pm
no but u never answered me messages all day
Fab IO 11:46 pm
I wasn't here most of the day
Fab IO 11:48 pm
Sierra and BR were still POed over the vote changer incident, for better or for worse I went with the flow of things
Jimmy J 11:54 pm
ur the only person who deserves to win tbh
:-P

Time for Round 10.... this round determines the rest of the game. The final 7 tends to be one of the most pivotal points in survivor